*Smart People Believe Weird Things*

Rarely does anyone weigh facts before deciding what to believe.

By Michael Shermer


In April 1999, when I was on a lecture tour for my book /Why People 
Believe Weird Things/, the psychologist Robert Sternberg attended my 
presentation at Yale University. His response to the lecture was both 
enlightening and troubling. It is certainly entertaining to hear about 
other people's weird beliefs, Sternberg reflected, because we are 
confident that we would never be so foolish. But why do /smart/ people 
fall for such things? Sternberg's challenge led to a second edition of 
my book, with a new chapter expounding on my answer to his question: 
Smart people believe weird things because they are skilled at defending 
beliefs they arrived at for nonsmart reasons.

Rarely do any of us sit down before a table of facts, weigh them pro and 
con, and choose the most logical and rational explanation, regardless of 
what we previously believed. Most of us, most of the time, come to our 
beliefs for a variety of reasons having little to do with empirical 
evidence and logical reasoning. Rather, such variables as genetic 
predisposition, parental predilection, sibling influence, peer pressure, 
educational experience and life impressions all shape the personality 
preferences that, in conjunction with numerous social and cultural 
influences, lead us to our beliefs. We then sort through the body of 
data and select those that most confirm what we already believe, and 
ignore or rationalize away those that do not.

This phenomenon, called the confirmation bias, helps to explain the 
findings published in the National Science Foundation's biennial report 
(April 2002) on the state of science understanding: 30 percent of adult 
Americans believe that UFOs are space vehicles from other civilizations; 
60 percent believe in ESP; 40 percent think that astrology is 
scientific; 32 percent believe in lucky numbers; 70 percent accept 
magnetic therapy as scientific; and 88 percent accept alternative medicine.

Education by itself is no paranormal prophylactic. Although belief in 
ESP decreased from 65 percent among high school graduates to 60 percent 
among college graduates, and belief in magnetic therapy dropped from 71 
percent among high school graduates to 55 percent among college 
graduates, that still leaves more than half fully endorsing such claims! 
And for embracing alternative medicine, the percentages actually 
increase, from 89 percent for high school grads to 92 percent for 
college grads.

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The siren song of pseudoscience can be too alluring to resist.
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We can glean a deeper cause of this problem in another statistic: 70 
percent of Americans still do not understand the scientific process, 
defined in the study as comprehending probability, the experimental 
method and hypothesis testing. One solution is more and better science 
education, as indicated by the fact that 53 percent of Americans with a 
high level of science education (nine or more high school and college 
science/math courses) understand the scientific process, compared with 
38 percent of those with a middle-level science education (six to eight 
such courses) and 17 percent with a low level (five or fewer courses).

The key here is teaching how science works, not just what science has 
discovered. We recently published an article in /Skeptic/ (Vol. 9, No. 
3) revealing the results of a study that found no correlation between 
science knowledge (facts about the world) and paranormal beliefs. The 
authors, W. Richard Walker, Steven J. Hoekstra and Rodney J. Vogl, 
concluded: "Students that scored well on these [science knowledge] tests 
were no more or less skeptical of pseudoscientific claims than students 
that scored very poorly. Apparently, the students were not able to apply 
their scientific knowledge to evaluate these pseudoscientific claims. We 
suggest that this inability stems in part from the way that science is 
traditionally presented to students: Students are taught what to think 
but not how to think."

To attenuate these paranormal belief statistics, we need to teach that 
science is not a database of unconnected factoids but a set of methods 
designed to describe and interpret phenomena, past or present, aimed at 
building a testable body of knowledge open to rejection or confirmation.

For those lacking a fundamental comprehension of how science works, the 
siren song of pseudoscience becomes too alluring to resist, no matter 
how smart you are.

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Michael Shermer is publisher of "Skeptic" magazine (www.skeptic.com) and 
author of "In Darwin's Shadow" and "Why People Believe Weird Things", 
just reissued.

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